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(26 People Likes) What do you think of Kayleigh McEnany's claim on Fox Friends that President Trump was "energized and in his best mood" after the Tulsa rally?
usiasts and gas away about this and that, go through a long-winded rationalization about inching down the ramp that received only cheers and bellows of approbation … this makes him happy. It would make me happy too, if Silicone Sex Doll was in some big internet old flame war with someone who was oh-so-wrong about something but kept twisting thei latex love doll facts and calling me a liar and saying “Lol, keep telling yourself that, maybe you’ll come to believe it!” and I went out in front of thousands of people who adored me, and I said “And he said ‘Nice dancing - do you call that the twist?’ and I said ‘Looks to me like you’re the one doing the twisting!!’” and all of my friends and followers roared and cheered with approval of how I took that fool down. So I imagine that after the rally he felt like busted a nut for the first time in months, and went to bed and slept like a massive, greasy baby. But the next day saw all the headlines in the fake news saying “Tulsa Flop Makes Trump Look Like a Big Fat Moron, LOL!”, and ignited. So now he’ll need another rally so he can say “The fake news … did you see this? Terrible, just lies, they said nobody came to the Tulsa rally. An empty arena! So I guess you people aren’t even here either!!” followed by a roar of laughter and applause, after which he will feel energized and in a mood to watch Shark Week reruns. It’s interesting that Trump’s mood is reported on like the weather. People inside the circle of light don’t see anything odd about that - some days it’s sunny, some days there’s thunderstorms. They’re all aware of it just as a background condition. “The President was happy and talkative, ate all of his breakfast, had a fine
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(30 People Likes) How do I prevent blocked accounts from uploading sex doll videos on YouTube?
me tutorials about sex dolls, it latex love doll should be no problem. As long as the video you are involved in is not a porn video, it shouldn't be a big prob
(95 People Likes) Bitcoin is almost at $4,000. To what extent can we expect it to correct?
cryptocurrencies, BTC cannot be objectively valued, outside of its transactional utility. So, Bitcoin can’t ever have a “correction” because there isn’t any “correct value” for BTC. This may all sound like semantics, but, it cuts to the core of understanding BTC and how much you should buy it for. BTC cannot be valued (yet!) as a security or currency or cybercurrency. With securities, the “correct value” is the PV of all future cash flows. With currencies, the “correct value” can be calculated from the ratio of any two currencies expected, nominal interest rates Don’t get me wrong, there’s lots of room for different perspectives within this framework. BUT, there is a correct value to each of those two asset classes Ironically, even Altcoins have a “correct value” - all Altcoin’s can be valued relative to the price of BTC based on their comparative inflation and adoption rates / changes in those adoption rates The only downside, is you can’t value BTC… only the value of other coins on a relative basis to BTC. I suspect it sounds like I’m splitting hairs here, but the semantics matter HOWEVER, THE PRICE OF BTC MATTERS AND THE RECENT RUN-UP WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE CURRENT PRICE Unlike a national fiat currency, which is a necessity for living in that country, you can’t mandate people use cryptocurrencies... you need them to adopt it. A currency cannot succeed without adoption. The more people adopt that currency, the broader the number of opportunities there will be to use that currency. It’s a recursive process that gets a turbo boost when there’s widespread attention to the currency (As there is today) Far from signaling “overvalue” a dramatic ruu-up often signals another dramatic run-up, which fuels more adoption which… (As an aside, I’ve seen a number of TED talks and symposiums where BTC “evangelists” refer to an “overhang” that BTC faces because people associate them with Silk Road and even express it as a shameful period (you’ll see it in articles a lot too) If it hadn’t been for Silk Road, you’d still need 10,000 BTC to buy a pizza - because to transact on Silk Road, you needed BitCoin. Without SR, it’s difficult to see how BTC would have convinced people to adopt it) The only way the market will decline because of yesterday’s run-up in BTC is — if people believe the market will decline because of yesterday’s run-up in BTC… IS THERE A WAY TO VALUE BITCOIN? There are libraries of thoughtful research on this topic. And, I’d suggest the most conclusive answer anyone could offer is: Probably - and that’s why I love this market. Here are a couple of the research pieces I’ve saved over the past year because I thought they were compelling Look to Online Forums to Predict Changes in Price: I found this to be compelling. This team produced a model with some actionable, predictive insight. When Bitcoin encounters information in an online forum: Using text mining to analyse user opinions and predict value fluctuation As an aside Google Trends has also been a helpful for me in quantifying shifts in public taste Use Dark Markets to Assess whether BTC is overvalued: This is some good developing research around underst Cheap Sex Dolls nding BTC’s value in money laundering “purchasing power parity” to arrive at an equilibrium price (From an economic viewpoint, this is probably the most technically precise piece on Bitcoin valuation, were it not for information limitations, this would be sufficient)[1] Look at a couple demand side drivers. Correlating the drivers to price is hard, but watching the changes in these drivers correlates with changes in BTC: These guys actually have a thoughtful paper, but, it’s easy to make fun of them because they’re pretty wishy-washy. Basically, they’re saying BTC price formation is a function of transactional velocity (another way to get at purchasing power parity from the answer above) [2][3] Admit the truth. Valuing BTC is extremely complicated - but, the research is getting better and slowly triangulating on something that might be useful: : This may not seem very helpful, yet. Basically, they flag just about any and everything that might impact price. It’s way too broad to be useful now, but, I wanted to highlight it for two reasons (1) Since we don’t know yet, it’s smart to consider everything (2) This tends to be the type of study that gets improved, streamlined and quantified over the next 5 or 10 years to create something useful What Are the Main Drivers of the Bitcoin Price? Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Analysis Footnotes [1] https://ftalphaville-cdn.ft.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/22174852/BitVal-BETA-Final-.pdf
(92 People Likes) Should sex dolls that look like kids be illegal? Are they?
’m going to establish some facts and personal background before actually answering it. I am a victim of childhood abuse, both by confirmed pedophiles and abusers who abuse children. I’ve written about this extensively and some of the writing is in my profile. I am not a pedophile or anyone who has or would ever sexually abuse children. Pedophilia, or a sexual attraction to prepubescent children, is something that some people are, although estimates of exact percentages vary. It isn’t something someone chooses to be, it can’t be conditioned into them or out of them. It’s very likely, given what we know, that some people are simply born pedophiles and there is nothing to be done about that. Most sexual abuse of children is not perpetrated by pedophiles, but garden variety abusers who target children because children are easy victims. Now that we have that out of the way, let’s look at the goals here. The problem with our society presently when it comes to pedophiles is that we simply demonize anyone who is a pedophile. They make a great punching bag because anyone who is attracted to children is obviously a bad person, right? The fact that they can’t help their attraction is completely ignored and we lump people who are pedophiles but don’t actually act on it in any way (including in viewing child pornography) in with those that do. Because of that stigma around pedophiles, there isn’t a lot of solid research on it and what research there is heavily depends on offending pedophiles as subjects. Pedophiles who don’t offend rarely take part in studies because of the stigma around being a pedophile, so we have a limited sample size. As a society when it comes to dealing with pedophiles, the goal is and should be simply the reduction of harm to children. In other words, the goal should be whatever it takes so that less children are abused. If you look at it from that perspective, the answer when it comes to sex dolls that look like prepubescent children, is that if in the end it reduces harm to actual children, we should allow them. As for whether or not they actually reduce harm to children, we simply don’t have enough data to say one way or the other. Evidence seems to suggest that it does make a pedophile less likely to offend if they have access to some kind of way to relieve themselves sexually like with a doll. There isn’t any evidence to suggest any kind of escalation of activity like using a doll would make someone more likely to abuse children. Similar to how massive amounts of evidence shows that people who play violent video games are actually less likely to be violent in real life and as porn use goes up people are less likely to commit sexual assault, we can extrapolate that people are less likely to act on their urges with a real child if they have some kind of ethical outlet. The main way the pedophiles who do offend actually end up offending is by viewing and collecting child pornography. This hurts children and is wrong as well because you need to abuse real children to produce it. So having an outlet that doesn’t abuse children would make all of those pedophiles that fall into the trap of child pornography less likely to actually do that. This leads us to the logical conclusion as well, where if we could create child pornography without hurting children, would that be allowed as well? As animation gets better, this might someday be possible. These are thorny ethical issues that must be addressed. The thing is, personally it bothers me and disgusts me. The idea of someone using a sex doll that looks like a child and watching animated porn of people having sex with children Is repulsive (and personally triggering to me). However, we have to remember that we have a goal in mind here and that goal is: fewer children molested and harmed. So if something that bothers and disgusts us but doesn’t hurt any children will Cheap Sex Dolls make it so that less actual children are harmed, I’m all for it. So in terms of whether or not they should be illegal I am leaning towards no. They should be allowed and we should do more scientific studies to make sure they actually do what we hope they do: make pedophiles less likely to offend. I would probably be in favor of them being prescribed by a psychiatrist or something like that, who would monitor the person using them and make sure they weren’t going to hurt a real child. However, this is outside of my wheelhouse. Do they encourage and normalize a cultural climate that condones child molestation and pedophila? Why or why not? It would in no way create something that condones child molestation. There is no slippery slope here. This has been brought up in countless other industries. Do movies and games that show violence condone real violence? All evidence points to no. In fact, healthy humans are able to separate fantasy from reality and that’s why we are able to enjoy fantastical things that we would never condone in reality. There is strong evidence to suggest that having these fantasies prevents people from doing immoral things in real life. This is why rape fantasies are okay, but real rape isn’t. It goes on and on. As far as normalizing and condoning pedophilia, we need to normalize it in that we need to recognize that pedophilia or people who are pedophiles are normal and that they exist. We need to normalize their sexuality and help them not act on it. This is very important. Normalizing sexual abuse of children is not something we should ever do (and again, no evidence to suggest that child sex dolls do that). Normalizing pedophiles acknowledging their attractions and getting help to prevent them from hurting children is something we need to do. Summary: As someone who has been sexually abused as a child, I am willing to support anything that prevents another child from being sexually abused. If that means sanctioning and providing child s
(57 People Likes) Where can I get a custom plush doll based on a photo of a real person?
Try http://www.iamastuffedanimal.com/ ?